Crypto Market Weekly, Week 44 2026: Bitcoin Falls 6.15% to $76,360

By CrypticJungle · Cryptohub Research · Data through 2026-10-30 · Published 2026-10-31

AI-assisted. The text is drafted by AI (Anthropic's Claude) from the data shown on this page, then reviewed and published by CrypticJungle, who is responsible for it. The AI may only use figures from the data shown on this page.

Key takeaways

Bitcoin's weekly loss was concentrated in the last two sessions. It stood at $81,184 on October 28, then moved to $78,880 on October 29 and $76,360 on October 30. That move coincided with the week's largest liquidation day, $347M on October 29, and with Fear & Greed dropping from 50 on October 29 to 29 on October 30.

The week's headline figures were a 6.15% Bitcoin decline, a total crypto market cap of $2.61T and a Cryptohub Macro Cycle Score of 39/100. US spot Bitcoin ETFs took in $303M even as prices fell, and total DeFi value locked ended the week at $83.94B.

Bitcoin and crypto market performance in Week 44, 2026

Bitcoin lost 6.15% in the week of October 24 to 30, 2026, closing at $76,360, with total crypto market cap at $2.61T at week end.

AssetOpenCloseHighLowReturn %
BTC81,368.3676,360.1881,691.7576,360.18-6.15
ETH2,399.92,230.382,399.82,191.63-7.06
SOL103.9794.12103.8393.78-9.48

Bitcoin lost 6.15% over the week, closing Friday at $76,360 after opening at $81,368. The total crypto market capitalization ended at $2.61T, down 4.78% over the week. Bitcoin dominance was 59.1%, down 0.3 points, and Ether dominance was 10.4%.

Ether returned -7.06% to $2,230.38 and Solana returned -9.48% to $94.12. Bitcoin's weekly high was $81,691.75 and its low of $76,360.18 matched the close. Ether's low was $2,191.63 and Solana's was $93.78. The Altcoin Season Index stood at 50/100.

Source: CoinGecko, CoinGlass. Prices run from the previous Friday's US stock market close to this Friday's close. Market cap and dominance are from the snapshot taken at the Friday close.

Cryptohub Macro Cycle Score for Week 44, 2026

The Cryptohub Macro Cycle Score ended the week of October 24 to 30, 2026 at 39/100 (Lower Mid-Range), up 0 points from the end of the previous week.

DimensionScore (week end)Change over week
sentiment44.3-14.5
crossmarket547.9
onchain29.4-6.7
leverage51.22.9
mining492.3
institutional56.6-2.3
structure18.7-1
retail23.2-0.7
rotation35.7-0.3
cycle26.70

The Cryptohub Macro Cycle Score ended the week at 39/100, in the Lower Mid-Range band, unchanged from the end of the previous week. It averaged 40.7 over the week, with a high of 42 on October 27 and a low of 39 on October 30.

Among the ten dimensions, sentiment stood at 44.3 with a weekly change of -14.5, crossmarket at 54 with a change of 7.9, and on-chain at 29.4 with a change of -6.7. Institutional read 56.6, leverage 51.2, structure 18.7 and retail 23.2.

Source: Cryptohub Macro Cycle Indicator (42 indicators, 10 dimensions). The score measures position between historical cycle extremes (0 = extreme low, 100 = extreme high). It describes where the market sits, not which way it is heading, and it is not a trading signal. Read directly from the Trading God system that powers the Discord and the Markets dashboard, so the figures match everywhere.

Spot Bitcoin and Ether ETF flows in Week 44, 2026

US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded +$303M of net inflows in the week of October 24 to 30, 2026, with 4 of 5 trading days positive.

ETFNet flow ($M)Positive daysTrading daysLargest day ($M)
BTC30345176
ETH-27115-106
SOL-6105-28
XRP5168

US spot Bitcoin ETFs took in $303M of net flows across the five trading days from October 23 to October 29, with four of the five days positive. The largest single day was October 27 at $176M, after an outflow of $137.9M on October 23. Net assets stood at $150B, up 0.29% over the week.

Spot Ether ETFs recorded net outflows of $271M, with one positive day out of five and a daily outflow of $106M on October 29. Solana ETFs recorded net outflows of $61M with no positive days, while XRP ETFs took in $5M.

Source: CoinGlass. Daily net flows of US spot ETFs in millions of USD. Trading days October 23, 2026 to October 29, 2026: Friday's flows are published after the US close and are counted in the next weekly report.

Bitcoin open interest, funding and liquidations in Week 44, 2026

BTC open interest ended the week of October 24 to 30, 2026 at $53.69B, up 0.22% over the week. $1B of BTC positions were liquidated, mostly longs (76% long).

$1B of Bitcoin positions were liquidated over the week, with longs accounting for $0.76B and shorts $0.24B. The largest liquidation day was October 29 at $347M, the same day Bitcoin's price dropped to $78,880.

Open interest ended the week at $53.69B, up 0.22%, after reaching $54.64B on October 27 and a low of $53.19B on October 25. Funding averaged 0.0084% per 8-hour interval, OI-weighted, within a range of 0.0057% to 0.0107%. The global long/short ratio was 2.37 at week end, against a weekly average of 2.16.

Source: CoinGlass. Funding is the OI-weighted rate for BTC perpetuals per 8-hour interval (daily readings), in percent as reported by CoinGlass.

Bitcoin on-chain data: exchange balances, SOPR and NUPL

BTC held on exchanges fell by 19,658 BTC in the week of October 24 to 30, 2026 to 2,502,006 BTC.

Bitcoin held on exchanges fell by 19,658 BTC over the week to 2,502,006 BTC. The balance stood at 2,536,470 BTC on October 27, and the October 30 reading of 2,502,006 BTC was the lowest of the week.

Short-term holder SOPR was 0.981 at week end against a weekly average of 0.999, while long-term holder SOPR was 1.01 against an average of 1.09. NUPL read 0.30, a change of -0.031 over the week. Active addresses averaged 609,335 per day, and stablecoin supply stood at $299.7B, down $3.5B over the week.

Source: CoinGlass, DefiLlama. SOPR above 1 means coins moved at a profit on average. NUPL above 0 means the network holds unrealized profit on aggregate.

Bull market peak indicators and Fear & Greed

0 of 30 bull market peak indicators had reached their targets at the end of the week of October 24 to 30, 2026. Fear & Greed ended the week of October 24 to 30, 2026 at 29 after averaging 47.

Peak indicatorValue at week endTargetStatus
Bitcoin Ahr999 Index0.464No
Pi Cycle Top Indicator77775.12152197No
Puell Multiple0.962.2No
Bitcoin Rainbow Chart15No
Days of ETF Net Outflows110No
ETF-to-BTC Ratio9.72%3.5%No
2-Year MA Multiplier77775.12446769No
MVRV Z-Score0.845No
Bitcoin Bubble Index-5.4680No
USDT Flexible Savings5.66%29%No
RSI - 22 Day 40.44180No
Altcoin Season Index50.0075No
Bitcoin Dominance59.65%65%No
Bitcoin Long Term Holder Supply16.31M13.5MNo
Bitcoin Short Term Holder Supply (%)18.87%30%No
Bitcoin Reserve Risk0.00130.005No
Bitcoin Net Unrealized P&L (NUPL)30.52%70%No
Bitcoin RHODL Ratio85210000No
Bitcoin Macro Oscillator (BMO)0.061.4No
Bitcoin MVRV Ratio1.443No
Bitcoin 4-Year Moving Average1.193.5No
Crypto Bitcoin Bull Run Index (CBBI)5590No
Mayer Multiple1.072.2No
Bitcoin AHR999x Top Escape Indicator6.540.45No
MicroStrategy's Avg Bitcoin Cost75446155655No
Bitcoin Trend Indicator6.147No
3-Month Annualized Ratio9.95%30%No
Bitcoin Terminal Price76976.5187702No
The Golden Ratio Multiplier76976.5135522No
Smithson's Bitcoin Price Forecast76976.5175k-230kNo

0 of 30 bull market peak indicators had reached their targets at the end of the week. Fear & Greed ended at 29 after averaging 47, with a high of 53 and a low of 29. It stood at 50 on October 29.

The Puell Multiple was 0.96 against a target of 2.2, the MVRV Z-Score was 0.84 against 5, and the Mayer Multiple was 1.07 against 2.2. The Crypto Bitcoin Bull Run Index was 55 against a target of 90. Bitcoin's price was 0.86x its 2-year moving average, and the Pi Cycle gap stood at 50.6% below the top line.

Source: CoinGlass. Long-cycle indicators are shown as context, not as trade setups.

Whale positioning on Hyperliquid and OKX

Graded whale wallets tracked by Cryptohub held positions in 12 coins at the end of the week of October 24 to 30, 2026, led by BTC with 6 open positions leaning neutral (50% long).

CoinPositionsLong % (by positions)Net notional ($M)LeanLong % chg since October 24, 2026
BTC6502.1neutral33
ETH4759.8long61
ZEC40-0.6short-17
BNB30-1.4short
ARB30-0.3short
KPEPE30-1.1short
NEAR30-1.1short
FIL300short
STRK30-0.4short
HYPE3337.5neutral8
XPL3331.5neutral
TRUMP3330neutral

OKX lead traders

CoinPositionsLong % (by positions)Lean
ETH1776long
BTC1164neutral
CRCL9100long
SOL580long
GOOGL5100long
XAU475long

Graded whale wallets tracked by Cryptohub held 41 open positions across 12 coins at the end of the week, with net notional of $15.9M. One coin leaned long and seven leaned short. BTC had 6 positions at 50% long, a neutral lean, with the long share up 33 points since October 24.

ETH had 4 positions at 75% long and net notional of $9.8M, with the long share up 61 points. HYPE had 3 positions at 33% long and net notional of $7.5M. Among OKX lead traders, ETH had 17 positions at 76% long, BTC 11 at 64% long, CRCL 9 at 100% long, SOL 5 at 80% long, GOOGL 5 at 100% long and XAU 4 at 75% long.

Source: Cryptohub Defi Scanner (Hyperliquid, OKX). Positioning is the state at the end of the week of October 24 to 30, 2026 (snapshot taken at the Friday US close) from wallets that passed Cryptohub's grading standard (see methodology). Read directly from the Defi Scanner, so it matches the Discord feeds. Long % counts positions; net notional is the dollar value of longs minus shorts.

Whale trade alerts in Week 44, 2026

Cryptohub's graded whale wallets triggered 3,843 trade alerts in the week of October 24 to 30, 2026, $0.19B in notional.

Coin (excl. memecoins)AlertsBuys/longsSells/shortsNotional ($M)
SOL26025284
ETH2191368334.3
BTC2068911724.4
HYPE103554847.2
XAU8850383.8
ZEC8470148.2
MSTR252502.1
CRCL222111.5
XRP201372.6
ZHIPU202005.4

Largest single trades

DateAssetSideNotional ($M)Venue
2026-10-26HYPEshort3.95hyperliquid
2026-10-26HYPEshort3.93hyperliquid
2026-10-26HYPEshort3.88hyperliquid
2026-10-26HYPEshort3.19hyperliquid
2026-10-29BTCshort2.6okx

Cryptohub's graded whale wallets triggered 3,843 trade alerts worth $189M in notional over the week. The solana-memes channel produced 2,489 of them, okx 619, hyperliquid 375 and solana-majors 360. Daily alerts ran from 346 on October 24 to 760 on October 29, and 548 on October 30.

Among tracked coins, SOL drew 260 alerts, of which 252 were buys or longs. ETH drew 219 alerts (136 buys, 83 sells), BTC 206 (89 buys, 117 sells) and HYPE 103 with $47.2M in notional. The largest single trade was a $3.95M HYPE short on Hyperliquid on October 26, one of four HYPE shorts that day. A $2.6M BTC short on OKX followed on October 29.

Source: Cryptohub Defi Scanner. Counts are summed from daily snapshots per UTC day, Saturday to Friday, with Friday counted up to the US close. Memecoin alerts are counted in the totals but left out of the coin table and the largest trades.

Solana and memecoin activity in Week 44, 2026

Solana memecoin venues handled $17.69B of volume across 643,959 new tokens in the days tracked, with 20,725 graduations. The average graded Solana wallet held 36% in cash and 31% in SOL at the end of the week of October 24 to 30, 2026, cash down 6 points since undefined.

HoldingAverage wallet % (undefined)Average wallet % (October 30, 2026)Change (pts)Holdings ($M, October 30, 2026)
Cash (stablecoins and dollar tokens)42.136.3-5.81.54
SOL (incl. staked)35.330.7-4.61.16
Listed coins5.15.30.20.49
Memecoins and other17.527.610.10.65

Launchpad activity

VenueVolume ($M)Tokens launchedGraduationsDays
all17,694.3643,95920,7257
pumpfun-amm7,379.121,25107
meteora-all4,767.166,19314,2937
meteora-dyn-v23,725.725,42807
raydium-all1,883.914,3512157
pumpfun1,727542,1276,2187
raydium-clmm1,574.911407
orca1,569.54207

Solana memecoin venues handled $17.69B of volume across 643,959 new tokens in the days tracked, with 20,725 graduations. The pumpfun-amm venue recorded $7,379.1M of volume. Meteora-all recorded $4,767.1M with 14,293 graduations, and pumpfun saw 542,127 token launches with 6,218 graduations.

The average graded Solana wallet held 36.3% in cash and 30.7% in SOL at the end of the week. Cash was down 5.8 points and SOL down 4.6 points over the comparison period. The share in memecoins and other holdings rose 10.1 points to 27.6%, while listed coins stood at 5.3%.

Source: Cryptohub Defi Scanner, SolanaTracker, Jupiter Lend. Launchpad totals are summed from 7 daily snapshots. Cash vs SOL covers 51 graded Solana wallets: each wallet's own split, averaged. Cash counts every stablecoin and dollar token, including vault and lending versions (Jupiter Lend included). Deposits on Kamino, MarginFi or Drift and exchange balances are not visible, so a fall in visible holdings can mean money moved out of view. Visible holdings fell 48% over the period; part may have moved to platforms the scanner cannot see.

DeFi TVL, DEX volume and fees in Week 44, 2026

Total value locked in DeFi stood at $83.94B at the end of the week of October 24 to 30, 2026, with $64.74B of DEX volume over the week.

ChainTVL at week end ($B)Change over week %
Ethereum43.24-12.46
Bitcoin5.9536.85
Base5.78-5.75
Tron5.642.54
Solana5.34-8.61
BSC5.22-9.38
Hyperliquid L12.649.85
Arbitrum1.44-1.2

Total DeFi value locked stood at $83.94B at the end of the week, down 6.7% over the week. DEX volume totaled $64.74B and protocol fees $565M over seven days.

Ethereum TVL fell 12.46% to $43.24B, from $49.2B on October 24, including a drop from $46.3B on October 29 to $43.2B on October 30. Solana TVL fell 8.61% to $5.34B, BSC fell 9.38% to $5.22B and Base fell 5.75% to $5.78B. Bitcoin TVL rose 36.85% to $5.95B, Hyperliquid L1 rose 9.85% to $2.64B and Tron rose 2.54% to $5.64B.

Source: DefiLlama. TVL values are end-of-week readings from DefiLlama history. DEX volume and fees are summed over the calendar week.

Macro backdrop: Fed, yields, dollar and the next two weeks

The effective Fed funds rate ended the week of October 24 to 30, 2026 at 3.88% and the US 10-year yield at 4.98%. 5 key US data releases and rate decisions are scheduled for the next two weeks.

DateScheduled release or rate decision (next two weeks)
2026-11-03Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey
2026-11-05Bank of England rate decision
2026-11-06Employment Situation
2026-11-10Consumer Price Index
2026-11-13Producer Price Index

High-impact releases this week

DateRelease
2026-10-28AUD CPI m/m
2026-10-28AUD CPI y/y
2026-10-28AUD Trimmed Mean CPI m/m
2026-10-28NZD Official Cash Rate
2026-10-28NZD RBNZ Rate Statement
2026-10-28NZD RBNZ Press Conference
2026-10-28GBP Annual Budget Release
2026-10-28CAD BOC Monetary Policy Report
2026-10-28CAD BOC Rate Statement
2026-10-28CAD Overnight Rate
2026-10-28CAD BOC Press Conference
2026-10-28USD Federal Funds Rate
2026-10-28USD FOMC Statement
2026-10-28USD FOMC Press Conference
2026-10-29USD Advance GDP q/q
2026-10-29USD Core PCE Price Index m/m
2026-10-29EUR Main Refinancing Rate
2026-10-29EUR Monetary Policy Statement
2026-10-29EUR ECB Press Conference
2026-10-30JPY BOJ Outlook Report

The effective Fed funds rate ended the week at 3.88%, unchanged from the previous week. The US 10-year yield was 4.98%, down 0.02 points, and the 2-year yield was 4.61%, down 0.08 points. US M2 stood at $23.41T in September 2026.

Gold returned -2.93% over the week, the S&P 500 (SPY) -0.56% and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) -1.97%. The week's high-impact calendar included the FOMC statement and press conference on October 28, US advance GDP and core PCE on October 29, the ECB press conference on October 29 and the BOJ outlook report on October 30.

Source: FRED, Twelve Data, Forex Factory. Rates and yields from FRED. Release dates are as scheduled by the publishing agencies and central banks and can change. This week's releases from the Forex Factory calendar (high-impact events, all major economies).

What to watch next week

Next week's scheduled releases include the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey on November 3, the Bank of England rate decision on November 5 and the Employment Situation report on November 6. The following week's calendar lists the Consumer Price Index on November 10 and the Producer Price Index on November 13.

Cryptohub's Macro Cycle Score stood at 39/100 in the Lower Mid-Range as Bitcoin fell 6.15% to $76,360 and 0 of 30 bull market peak indicators had reached their targets.

Frequently asked questions

How did Bitcoin perform in the week of October 24 to 30, 2026?

Bitcoin lost 6.15% in the week of October 24 to 30, 2026, closing at $76,360, with total crypto market cap at $2.61T at week end.

How much did US spot Bitcoin ETFs take in during the week of October 24 to 30, 2026?

US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded +$303M of net inflows in the week of October 24 to 30, 2026, with 4 of 5 trading days positive.

What was the Cryptohub Macro Cycle Score at the end of the week of October 24 to 30, 2026?

The Cryptohub Macro Cycle Score ended the week of October 24 to 30, 2026 at 39/100 (Lower Mid-Range), up 0 points from the end of the previous week. The score describes where the market sits between historical cycle extremes, not which way it is heading.

How much Bitcoin was liquidated in the week of October 24 to 30, 2026?

$1B of BTC positions were liquidated, mostly longs (76% long).

What happened to Bitcoin exchange balances in the week of October 24 to 30, 2026?

BTC held on exchanges fell by 19,658 BTC in the week of October 24 to 30, 2026 to 2,502,006 BTC.

How much value was locked in DeFi at the end of the week of October 24 to 30, 2026?

Total value locked in DeFi stood at $83.94B at the end of the week of October 24 to 30, 2026, with $64.74B of DEX volume over the week.

Where were US rates and yields at the end of the week of October 24 to 30, 2026?

The effective Fed funds rate ended the week of October 24 to 30, 2026 at 3.88% and the US 10-year yield at 4.98%. 5 key US data releases and rate decisions are scheduled for the next two weeks.

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Data notice: figures in this report come from third-party providers (CoinGlass, CoinGecko, DefiLlama, FRED, Twelve Data, SolanaTracker) and Cryptohub's own tracking systems. They are shown as reported at the time of collection and may be delayed, revised or reported incorrectly by the source. Cryptohub checks the data but cannot guarantee that it is complete or accurate. This report is educational market commentary, not financial advice. Do your own research before making any decision, and never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Cite this report

Cryptohub (2026). Crypto Market Weekly, Week 44 2026: Bitcoin Falls 6.15% to $76,360. https://cryptohub.gg/reports/crypto-market-weekly-week-44-2026. Methodology: https://cryptohub.gg/reports/methodology. Data as JSON: https://cryptohub.gg/api/reports?action=get&slug=crypto-market-weekly-week-44-2026.

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