By CrypticJungle · Cryptohub Research · Data through 2026-10-16 · Published 2026-10-17
AI-assisted. The text is drafted by AI (Anthropic's Claude) from the data shown on this page, then reviewed and published by CrypticJungle, who is responsible for it. The AI may only use figures from the data shown on this page.
Bitcoin slipped 1.62% in the week of October 10 to 16 and closed at $81,041, in a week when US equities also lost ground: the S&P 500 (SPY) fell 1.96% and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) fell 5.52%. Ether and Solana fell further than Bitcoin, and US spot ETFs for all three assets recorded net outflows.
Total crypto market cap stood at $2.75T at week end, with BTC dominance at 59.4%. The Cryptohub Macro Cycle Score ended the week at 36/100, Fear & Greed at 64, and BTC open interest at $52.57B. The sections below set out each of these readings in turn.
Bitcoin lost 1.62% in the week of October 10 to 16, 2026, closing at $81,041, with total crypto market cap at $2.75T at week end.
| Asset | Open | Close | High | Low | Return % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 82,374.2 | 81,041.41 | 84,154.06 | 80,116.63 | -1.62 |
| ETH | 2,480.97 | 2,403.21 | 2,569.64 | 2,337.78 | -3.13 |
| SOL | 109.35 | 102.93 | 113.06 | 101.41 | -5.87 |
Bitcoin lost 1.62% in the week of October 10 to 16, closing at $81,041, while total crypto market cap stood at $2.75T at week end. BTC traded between a low of $80,116.63 and a high of $84,154.06 after opening the week at $82,374.20. Ether fell 3.13% to $2,403.21 and Solana fell 5.87% to $102.93.
BTC's daily readings peaked at $83,574.57 on October 11, and the lowest reading of the week was the final one on October 16. BTC dominance was 59.4% at week end and ETH dominance was 10.7%. The Altcoin Season Index stood at 66/100.
Source: CoinGecko, CoinGlass. Prices run from the previous Friday's US stock market close to this Friday's close. Market cap and dominance are from the snapshot taken at the Friday close.
The Cryptohub Macro Cycle Score ended the week of October 10 to 16, 2026 at 36/100 (Lower Mid-Range), down 1 points from the end of the previous week.
| Dimension | Score (week end) | Change over week |
|---|---|---|
| institutional | 0 | -9.5 |
| mining | 51 | 8 |
| crossmarket | 42 | -6.4 |
| onchain | 42.3 | 5.6 |
| retail | 25.6 | -3.2 |
| leverage | 46.8 | 2.5 |
| rotation | 42.3 | -1.7 |
| sentiment | 66.3 | -0.6 |
| structure | 20.3 | -0.2 |
| cycle | 26.7 | 0 |
The Cryptohub Macro Cycle Score ended the week at 36/100, in the Lower Mid-Range band and 1 point below the previous week end. The week average was 36.1, with a high of 38 on October 12 and a low of 34 on October 15.
Across the ten dimensions, institutional stood at 0 (-9.5 over the week) and sentiment at 66.3 (-0.6). Mining stood at 51 (+8) and on-chain at 42.3 (+5.6), while cross-market stood at 42 (-6.4) and retail at 25.6 (-3.2). Leverage was 46.8 (+2.5), rotation 42.3 (-1.7), structure 20.3 (-0.2) and cycle 26.7, unchanged over the week.
Source: Cryptohub Macro Cycle Indicator (42 indicators, 10 dimensions). The score measures position between historical cycle extremes (0 = extreme low, 100 = extreme high). It describes where the market sits, not which way it is heading, and it is not a trading signal. Read directly from the Trading God system that powers the Discord and the Markets dashboard, so the figures match everywhere.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded -$125M of net outflows in the week of October 10 to 16, 2026, with 3 of 5 trading days positive.
| ETF | Net flow ($M) | Positive days | Trading days | Largest day ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | -125 | 3 | 5 | -261 |
| ETH | -307 | 1 | 5 | -130 |
| SOL | -17 | 0 | 5 | -10 |
US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $125M of net outflows over the week, with 3 of 5 trading days positive. An inflow of $175.7M on October 13 was followed by an outflow of $261.4M on October 14, the largest single day. BTC ETF net assets stood at $149.3B at week end, down 0.1% over the week.
Spot Ether ETFs recorded $307M of net outflows, with 1 of 5 trading days positive and a largest day of -$130M. Spot Solana ETFs recorded $17M of net outflows, with no positive days and a largest day of -$10M.
Source: CoinGlass. Daily net flows of US spot ETFs in millions of USD. Trading days October 9, 2026 to October 15, 2026: Friday's flows are published after the US close and are counted in the next weekly report.
BTC open interest ended the week of October 10 to 16, 2026 at $52.57B, up 1.48% over the week. $0.62B of BTC positions were liquidated, mostly longs (70% long).
BTC open interest ended the week at $52.57B, up 1.48% over the week. Daily readings ranged from $51.28B on October 12 to $52.79B on October 14. $0.62B of BTC positions were liquidated over the week, made up of $0.44B of longs and $0.18B of shorts (70% long). The largest liquidation day was October 15, at $209M.
Average funding, weighted by open interest, was 0.0039% per 8-hour interval, within a range of -0.0002% to 0.0087%. The global long/short ratio was 1.74 at week end, against a week average of 1.52.
Source: CoinGlass. Funding is the OI-weighted rate for BTC perpetuals per 8-hour interval (daily readings), in percent as reported by CoinGlass.
BTC held on exchanges rose by 15,032 BTC in the week of October 10 to 16, 2026 to 2,473,294 BTC.
BTC held on exchanges rose by 15,032 BTC over the week to 2,473,294 BTC. The balance increased at every reading in the series, from 2,466,867 BTC on October 12 to 2,469,333 BTC on October 14.
Short-term holder SOPR was 0.996 at week end against a week average of 1.003, and long-term holder SOPR was 1.0 against an average of 1.23. NUPL stood at 0.344, down 0.007 over the week. Active addresses averaged 636,876 per day. Stablecoin supply was $305.2B at week end, down $1.4B over the week.
Source: CoinGlass, DefiLlama. SOPR above 1 means coins moved at a profit on average. NUPL above 0 means the network holds unrealized profit on aggregate.
0 of 30 bull market peak indicators had reached their targets at the end of the week of October 10 to 16, 2026. Fear & Greed ended the week of October 10 to 16, 2026 at 64 after averaging 61.
| Peak indicator | Value at week end | Target | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Ahr999 Index | 0.53 | 4 | No |
| Pi Cycle Top Indicator | 82141.46 | 154069 | No |
| Puell Multiple | 1.13 | 2.2 | No |
| Bitcoin Rainbow Chart | 1 | 5 | No |
| Days of ETF Net Outflows | 1 | 10 | No |
| ETF-to-BTC Ratio | 9.13% | 3.5% | No |
| 2-Year MA Multiplier | 82141.46 | 445519 | No |
| MVRV Z-Score | 0.96 | 5 | No |
| Bitcoin Bubble Index | -1.49 | 80 | No |
| USDT Flexible Savings | 4.94% | 29% | No |
| RSI - 22 Day | 51.267 | 80 | No |
| Altcoin Season Index | 66.00 | 75 | No |
| Bitcoin Dominance | 60.02% | 65% | No |
| Bitcoin Long Term Holder Supply | 16.38M | 13.5M | No |
| Bitcoin Short Term Holder Supply (%) | 18.50% | 30% | No |
| Bitcoin Reserve Risk | 0.0014 | 0.005 | No |
| Bitcoin Net Unrealized P&L (NUPL) | 34.41% | 70% | No |
| Bitcoin RHODL Ratio | 853 | 10000 | No |
| Bitcoin Macro Oscillator (BMO) | 0.06 | 1.4 | No |
| Bitcoin MVRV Ratio | 1.53 | 3 | No |
| Bitcoin 4-Year Moving Average | 1.26 | 3.5 | No |
| Crypto Bitcoin Bull Run Index (CBBI) | 55 | 90 | No |
| Mayer Multiple | 1.14 | 2.2 | No |
| Bitcoin AHR999x Top Escape Indicator | 5.75 | 0.45 | No |
| MicroStrategy's Avg Bitcoin Cost | 75437 | 155655 | No |
| Bitcoin Trend Indicator | 6.14 | 7 | No |
| 3-Month Annualized Ratio | 9.95% | 30% | No |
| Bitcoin Terminal Price | 81597.6 | 187702 | No |
| The Golden Ratio Multiplier | 81597.6 | 135522 | No |
| Smithson's Bitcoin Price Forecast | 81597.6 | 175k-230k | No |
0 of 30 bull market peak indicators had reached their targets at week end. Fear & Greed ended the week at 64 after averaging 61, with a low of 52 on October 15 and a high of 68 on October 12.
Several long-cycle readings can be set against their targets. The MVRV Z-Score was 0.96 against a target of 5, the Puell Multiple was 1.13 against 2.2, and the Crypto Bitcoin Bull Run Index was 55 against 90. BTC price stood at 0.92x its 2-year moving average, with the 5x line at $445,519, and the Pi Cycle gap was 52.9% below the top line.
Source: CoinGlass. Long-cycle indicators are shown as context, not as trade setups.
Graded whale wallets tracked by Cryptohub held positions in 5 coins at the end of the week of October 10 to 16, 2026, led by ZEC with 6 open positions leaning neutral (67% long).
| Coin | Positions | Long % (by positions) | Net notional ($M) | Lean | Long % chg since October 15, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZEC | 6 | 67 | -1.9 | neutral | 24 |
| NEAR | 5 | 60 | 0.5 | neutral | 35 |
| HYPE | 4 | 75 | 0.8 | long | 25 |
| SOL | 3 | 67 | -1.5 | neutral | 17 |
| BTC | 3 | 67 | -11.5 | neutral | 25 |
| Coin | Positions | Long % (by positions) | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 20 | 80 | long |
| BTC | 17 | 59 | neutral |
| SOL | 10 | 80 | long |
| CRCL | 6 | 100 | long |
| XRP | 6 | 83 | long |
| SOXL | 5 | 80 | long |
Graded whale wallets tracked by Cryptohub held 21 open positions across 5 coins at week end, with net notional of -$13.6M. ZEC led by position count with 6 positions (67% long), leaning neutral. HYPE was the only coin leaning long, with 4 positions at 75% long. 13 graded Hyperliquid wallets are tracked.
BTC had 3 positions at 67% long and net notional of -$11.5M. The long share rose for all five coins since October 15. On OKX, lead traders held 20 ETH positions at 80% long and 17 BTC positions at 59% long, leaning neutral, plus 10 SOL positions at 80% long.
Source: Cryptohub Defi Scanner (Hyperliquid, OKX). Positioning is the state at the end of the week of October 10 to 16, 2026 (snapshot taken at the Friday US close) from wallets that passed Cryptohub's grading standard (see methodology). Read directly from the Defi Scanner, so it matches the Discord feeds. Long % counts positions; net notional is the dollar value of longs minus shorts.
Cryptohub's graded whale wallets triggered 1,192 trade alerts across 2 of the 7 days in the week of October 10 to 16, 2026 with daily snapshots, $0.17B in notional.
| Coin (excl. memecoins) | Alerts | Buys/longs | Sells/shorts | Notional ($M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 88 | 39 | 49 | 57.6 |
| BTC | 64 | 44 | 20 | 50.9 |
| SOL | 62 | 61 | 1 | 2.8 |
| SKHX | 37 | 2 | 35 | 4.2 |
| XAU | 35 | 19 | 16 | 2.1 |
| NEAR | 23 | 12 | 11 | 4.3 |
| SOXL | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0.8 |
| MSTR | 16 | 16 | 0 | 1.5 |
| MU | 13 | 2 | 11 | 3 |
| HYPE | 12 | 9 | 3 | 5.8 |
| Date | Asset | Side | Notional ($M) | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | ETH | long | 22.62 | hyperliquid |
| 2026-10-15 | ETH | long | 10.32 | hyperliquid |
| 2026-10-15 | ETH | long | 9.33 | hyperliquid |
| 2026-10-15 | BTC | short | 8.91 | hyperliquid |
| 2026-10-15 | BTC | short | 8.01 | hyperliquid |
Graded whale wallets triggered 1,192 trade alerts across 2 of the 7 days in the week with daily snapshots, totaling $0.17B in notional. Alerts numbered 720 on October 15 and 472 on October 16. Solana memecoin alerts accounted for 695, OKX for 220, Hyperliquid for 214 and Solana majors for 63.
Excluding memecoins, ETH had 88 alerts (39 buys or longs, 49 sells or shorts) with $57.6M in notional, and BTC had 64 alerts (44 buys or longs, 20 sells or shorts) with $50.9M. SOL's 62 alerts included 61 buys or longs. The largest single trade was a $22.62M ETH long on Hyperliquid on October 15.
Source: Cryptohub Defi Scanner. Counts are summed from daily snapshots per UTC day, Saturday to Friday, with Friday counted up to the US close (2 of 7 days covered). Memecoin alerts are counted in the totals but left out of the coin table and the largest trades.
Solana memecoin venues handled $4.6B of volume across 181,904 new tokens in the days tracked, with 5,490 graduations.
| Venue | Volume ($M) | Tokens launched | Graduations | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| all | 4,596.2 | 181,904 | 5,490 | 2 |
| pumpfun-amm | 2,161 | 5,009 | 0 | 2 |
| meteora-all | 789.8 | 16,561 | 3,262 | 2 |
| raydium-all | 568.7 | 2,497 | 39 | 2 |
| meteora-dyn-v2 | 531.5 | 5,165 | 0 | 2 |
| orca | 507.3 | 24 | 0 | 2 |
| raydium-clmm | 489.3 | 91 | 0 | 2 |
| pumpfun | 401.9 | 157,813 | 2,187 | 2 |
Solana memecoin venues handled $4.6B of volume over the 2 days tracked, with 181,904 new tokens launched and 5,490 graduations. Cryptohub tracks 725 graded Solana wallets.
By venue, pumpfun-amm led on volume at $2,161M. The pumpfun venue launched 157,813 tokens and recorded 2,187 graduations, while meteora-all recorded 3,262 graduations from 16,561 launches. raydium-all handled $568.7M of volume and orca handled $507.3M.
Source: Cryptohub Defi Scanner, SolanaTracker. Launchpad totals are summed from 2 daily snapshots (partial week).
Total value locked in DeFi stood at $89.09B at the end of the week of October 10 to 16, 2026, with $57.99B of DEX volume over the week.
| Chain | TVL at week end ($B) | Change over week % |
|---|---|---|
| Ethereum | 49.64 | -2.7 |
| Base | 6.1 | 0.13 |
| Solana | 5.92 | -4.21 |
| Tron | 5.57 | -2.05 |
| BSC | 5.31 | -3.74 |
| Bitcoin | 4.35 | -0.42 |
| Arbitrum | 1.4 | 3.32 |
| Robinhood Chain | 1.05 | 1.9 |
Total DeFi TVL stood at $89.09B at week end, down 2.23% over the week. DEX volume totaled $57.99B over the week and protocol fees came to $557M.
Ethereum was the largest chain by TVL at $49.64B, down 2.7%. Its daily reading peaked at $51.7B on October 12 and stood at $49.6B on October 16. Solana TVL fell 4.21% to $5.92B and BSC fell 3.74% to $5.31B, while Arbitrum rose 3.32% to $1.4B and Robinhood Chain rose 1.9% to $1.05B. Base held $6.1B, up 0.13%.
Source: DefiLlama. TVL values are end-of-week readings from DefiLlama history. DEX volume and fees are summed over the calendar week.
The effective Fed funds rate ended the week of October 10 to 16, 2026 at 3.88% and the US 10-year yield at 5.19%. 3 key US data releases and rate decisions are scheduled for the next two weeks.
| Date | Scheduled release or rate decision (next two weeks) |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | FOMC rate decision |
| 2026-10-29 | ECB rate decision |
| 2026-10-30 | Bank of Japan rate decision |
| Date | Release |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | USD Core CPI m/m |
| 2026-10-14 | USD Core CPI y/y |
| 2026-10-14 | USD CPI m/m |
| 2026-10-14 | USD CPI y/y |
| 2026-10-15 | AUD Employment Change |
| 2026-10-15 | AUD Unemployment Rate |
| 2026-10-15 | GBP GDP m/m |
| 2026-10-15 | USD Core PPI m/m |
| 2026-10-15 | USD Core Retail Sales m/m |
| 2026-10-15 | USD PPI m/m |
| 2026-10-15 | USD Retail Sales m/m |
| 2026-10-16 | GBP BOE Gov Bailey Speaks |
| 2026-10-16 | USD Fed Chairman Warsh Speaks |
The effective Fed funds rate ended the week at 3.88%, unchanged from the previous week, while the US 10-year yield was 5.19%, down 0.05 points. The US 2-year yield was 4.82%, up 0.02 points. Gold returned -0.63% over the week.
The calendar for the next two weeks lists the FOMC rate decision on October 28, the ECB rate decision on October 29 and the Bank of Japan rate decision on October 30. High-impact releases this week included US CPI on October 14, US PPI and retail sales on October 15, and remarks from Fed Chairman Warsh on October 16.
Source: FRED, Twelve Data, Forex Factory. Rates and yields from FRED. Release dates are as scheduled by the publishing agencies and central banks and can change. This week's releases from the Forex Factory calendar (high-impact events, all major economies).
The next scheduled central bank decisions on the calendar are the FOMC rate decision on October 28, the ECB rate decision on October 29 and the Bank of Japan rate decision on October 30, all falling in the week after next week. Next week, readers can follow the regular weekly datasets covered in this report, including the Cryptohub Macro Cycle Score, spot ETF net flows, BTC open interest and funding, and graded whale wallet positioning.
Cryptohub's Macro Cycle Score placed the market at 36/100 (Lower Mid-Range) as Bitcoin closed the week of October 10 to 16 at $81,041, down 1.62%.
Bitcoin lost 1.62% in the week of October 10 to 16, 2026, closing at $81,041, with total crypto market cap at $2.75T at week end.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded -$125M of net outflows in the week of October 10 to 16, 2026, with 3 of 5 trading days positive.
The Cryptohub Macro Cycle Score ended the week of October 10 to 16, 2026 at 36/100 (Lower Mid-Range), down 1 points from the end of the previous week. The score describes where the market sits between historical cycle extremes, not which way it is heading.
$0.62B of BTC positions were liquidated, mostly longs (70% long).
BTC held on exchanges rose by 15,032 BTC in the week of October 10 to 16, 2026 to 2,473,294 BTC.
Total value locked in DeFi stood at $89.09B at the end of the week of October 10 to 16, 2026, with $57.99B of DEX volume over the week.
The effective Fed funds rate ended the week of October 10 to 16, 2026 at 3.88% and the US 10-year yield at 5.19%. 3 key US data releases and rate decisions are scheduled for the next two weeks.
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Data notice: figures in this report come from third-party providers (CoinGlass, CoinGecko, DefiLlama, FRED, Twelve Data, SolanaTracker) and Cryptohub's own tracking systems. They are shown as reported at the time of collection and may be delayed, revised or reported incorrectly by the source. Cryptohub checks the data but cannot guarantee that it is complete or accurate. This report is educational market commentary, not financial advice. Do your own research before making any decision, and never risk money you cannot afford to lose.
Cryptohub (2026). Crypto Market Weekly, Week 42 2026: Bitcoin Falls 1.62% to $81,041. https://cryptohub.gg/reports/crypto-market-weekly-week-42-2026. Methodology: https://cryptohub.gg/reports/methodology. Data as JSON: https://cryptohub.gg/api/reports?action=get&slug=crypto-market-weekly-week-42-2026.